Starting with a keynote about change. Some very interesting statistics and predictions from various studies about 2050, but a couple of things that don't make much sense.
First of all, given the political realities, I doubt that we can even inaccurately predict what the world will look like in 2050. Trying to predict what the world will look like in 2008 from 1968 would have been a fool's errand. Second, economic realities of the last 3 months suggest that the demise of United States as the world's lone superpower has been greatly exaggerated.
So here we have a preso that is still based on the 1st half of 2008. Good luck basing any predictions on that :)
Starting out with how to draw solutions on the back of a napkin. A very neat way to get people to try and visualize their problems with models. Should make a lot of sense to people in the room - Enterprise Architects. But outside of this bubble... Not sure how to crack the point that only 8-10% of the population is able to think in a model driven way.
Start of EA sessions:
1st bombshell: Gartner predicts that up to 50% of EA programs will be suspended because of the economic crisis.
2nd point: Opportunity for EA has never been greater
Well, last day of the AADI (application architecture development and integration) conference and transition to the first day of the EA (enterprise architecture) conference. I'm taking a break from listening to analysts and going to listen to what National City has done. They had a representative on my panel, and it seems like they have their ducks in a row. However, as that rep quipped, you can have a wonderful technology strategy and execution, but when your business buys up MBS's and CDO's right before the financial meltdown, there's little IT can do.
Context Aware Architecture Presentation
Interesting story on traffic pattern story leading to a 12/13 track record for stock picking. Not bad. Really time to know the "Digital Me".
Application (for bberry and iphone) is called "City Sense".
Starting with a Keynote: The Next Decade of Application Development.
The question they are posing should have been posed at the onset of the summit - "are you ready, willing and able to take advantage of technological change?" They started however, with the answers - application portfolio management, service oriented architecture, master data management, context based architecture and the like. I'm glad to see that they are getting to the problem statement.
Looks like even Gartner is getting down to brass tacks when it comes to SOA. "Improve Your Relationship with SOA!" Initial counseling sessions available. lol!
Those of you who remember pre-calculus (who doesn't!) might recall these problems relating to maximum area of a multi-sided figure. For a rectangle, for instance, the maximum area shape is a square, which of course then scales for every n-sided shape. Underlying this is a simple set theory mathematical construct - which translates into much much more domains than just n-sided polygons :)
Where am I going with this walk down the pre-calculus lane? Optimizing an organization's technology investment should be a technology strategy function - handled in mature organizations by Enterprise Architecture and Technology Finance domains. The science of optimization looks curiously like those maximum area problems - of course, in mathematics, there is rarely such thing as a coincidence! The point I'm getting to (slowly and in a wordy manner) is that by identifying different concerns that go into optimization of technology investment we can then construct a fairly simple mathematical model. And the optimal (sans organizational political constraints) ROI will likely come at the intersection where the area of each individual concern is equivalent to the area of integration of those concerns. It's a multi-dimentional array, but a fairly simple one - until you introduce politics and risk :) Perhaps those are two of the concerns that we need to balance, n'est-ce pas?
How much is your company investing in technology?
My 2 cents is that it is hard to quantify. IT Budget is certainly helpful in making that determination, but what about all of the ancillary items buried in business units? Look forward to your thoughts!
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